Projections of population size, growth rates, and age distribution, although extending to
distant horizons, shape policies today for the economy, environment, and government …

Darwin and Wallace, the originators of evolutionary theory, independently found in Malthus's
analysis of checks to population the driving force behind natural selection. It is, then, ironic …

Time series methods are used to make long-run forecasts, with confidence intervals, of age-
specific mortality in the United States from 1990 to 2065. First, the logs of the age-specific …

Asoprisnil is a novel selective steroid receptor modulator that shows unique
pharmacodynamic effects in animal models and humans. Asoprisnil, its major metabolite …

The global demographic transition began around 1800 in Europe with declining mortality
followed by declining fertility, trends which spread around the world and continue in this …

'While there already exists a crowded body of publications addressing the effect of an aging
population on the economy, this monograph is most outstanding in presenting a global, in …

Lee and Carter (LC) published a new statistical method for forecasting mortality in 1992.
This paper examines its actual and hypothetical forecast errors, and compares them with …

Mortality patterns and trajectories in closely related populations are likely to be similar in
some respects, and differences are unlikely to increase in the long run. It should therefore be …

Abstract In 1992, Lee and Carter published a new method for long-run forecasts of the level
and age pattern of mortality, based on a combination of statistical time series methods and a …

Do low fertility and population aging lead to economic decline if couples have fewer
children, but invest more in each child? By addressing this question, this article extends …