Elsevier

Annals of Oncology

Volume 20, Issue 6, June 2009, Pages 1113-1120
Annals of Oncology

original articles
epidemiology
Time-dependent association of total serum cholesterol and cancer incidence in a cohort of 172 210 men and women: a prospective 19-year follow-up study

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Abstract

Background: The relationship between serum cholesterol and cancer incidence remains controversial.

Patients and methods: We investigated the association of total serum cholesterol (TSC) with subsequent cancer incidence in a population-based cohort of 172 210 Austrian adults prospectively followed up for a median of 13.0 years. Cox regression, allowing for time-dependent effects, was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for the association of TSC with cancer.

Results: We observed pronounced short-term associations of TSC and overall cancer incidence in both men and women. For malignancies diagnosed shortly (<5 months) after baseline TSC measurement, the highest TSC tertile (>235.0 mg/dl in men and >229.0 in women) compared with the lowest tertile (<194.0 mg/dl in men and <190.0 in women) was associated with a significantly lower overall cancer risk [HR = 0.58 (95% CI 0.43–0.78, Ptrend = 0.0001) in men, HR = 0.69 (95% CI 0.49–0.99, Ptrend = 0.03) in women]. However, after roughly 5 months from baseline measurement, overall cancer risk was not significantly associated with TSC. The short-term inverse association of TSC with cancer was mainly driven by malignancies of the digestive organs and lymphoid and hematopoietic tissue.

Conclusion: The short-term decrease of cancer risk seen for high levels of TSC may largely capture preclinical effects of cancer on TSC.

Key words

cancer incidence
prospective study
reverse causality
time dependency
total serum cholesterol

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