Table 3

Probabilistic cost-effectiveness results

TreatmentCryoablationAADsIncremental
Cost (per patient)£21 301 (£19 432 to £23 264)£20 661 (£18 395 to £23 174)£641 (-£1210 to £2364)
QALYs (per patient)11.47 (10.88 to 11.99)11.30 (10.65 to 11.88)0.17 (0.04 to 0.35)
ICER£3783 (£710 to £36 753)
NMB£2746 (-£665 to £7023)
Probability of cost-effectiveness at a threshold of £20 000 per QALY gained89.5%
Probability of cost-effectiveness at a threshold of £30 000 per QALY gained94.3%
  • AADs, antiarrhythmic drugs; CrI, credible interval; ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; NMB, net monetary benefit; QALY quality adjusted life-year.