Table 4

HRs for death in the validation cohort, LGAS subset and patients not undergoing intervention

HRs for death in the validation cohort (n=540)
Model1-Year HR (95% CI)2-Year HR (95% CI)3-Year HR (95% CI)4-Year HR (95% CI)5-Year HR (95% CI)
Baseline2.1 (1.6 to 3.0)1.9 (1.5 to 2.5)1.9 (1.5 to 2.4)1.9 (1.5 to 2.3)1.8 (1.5 to 2.2)
ASteRisk score2.6 (1.9 to 3.6)2.6 (2.0 to 3.5)2.6 (2.0 to 3.3)2.4 (1.9 to 3.1)2.4 (1.9 to 3.0)
Patients with LGAS (n=316)
Baseline1.0 (0.7 to 1.4)1.0 (0.8 to 1.4)1.1 (0.8 to 1.5)1.1 (0.8 to 1.5)1.2 (0.9 to 1.6)
ASteRisk score2.3 (1.3 to 3.8)2.6 (1.6 to 4.0)2.5 (1.7 to 3.8)2.5 (1.8 to 3.7)2.5 (1.7 to 3.5)
Patients without intervention (n=196)
Baseline2.4 (1.5 to 3.9)2.3 (1.6 to 3.5)2.8 (2.0 to 3.9)2.9 (2.2 to 4.0)3.1 (2.4 to 4.2)
ASteRisk score3.3 (2.0 to 5.3)3.9 (2.6 to 5.7)4.0 (2.8 to 5.6)3.9 (2.8 to 5.4)4.3 (3.1 to 5.9)
  • P value <0.05, where HR (95% CI) does not cross/include 1. HRs are calculated using the upper quartile of risk.

  • ASteRisk score, Aortic Stenosis Risk score; LGAS, low-gradient aortic stenosis.