Relationships between cardiovascular risk factors and incidence of non-fatal and fatal first-time coronary events and the significance of difference between the two outcomes
Non-fatal coronary event | Fatal coronary event | Heterogeneity | |||||
HR | 95% CI | P value | HR | 95% CI | P value | P value | |
Model 1 | |||||||
Age, year | 1.07 | 1.07 to 1.08 | <0.001 | 1.12 | 1.11 to 1.13 | <0.001 | <0.0001 |
Male gender | 2.54 | 2.33 to 2.76 | <0.001 | 4.06 | 3.51 to 4.69 | <0.001 | <0.0001 |
Diabetes | 2.35 | 2.15 to 2.57 | <0.001 | 2.52 | 2.20 to 2.89 | <0.001 | 0.57 |
Current smoking | 1.88 | 1.77 to 2.01 | <0.001 | 2.48 | 2.24 to 2.76 | <0.001 | <0.0001 |
Cholesterol, per mmol/L | 1.32 | 1.29 to 1.36 | <0.001 | 1.33 | 1.27 to 1.39 | <0.001 | 0.86 |
Body mass index, per kg/m2 | 1.25 | 1.19 to 1.31 | <0.001 | 1.43 | 1.32 to 1.54 | <0.001 | 0.0031 |
Systolic blood pressure, per 10 mm Hg | 1.14 | 1.12 to 1.16 | <0.001 | 1.22 | 1.19 to 1.25 | <0.001 | 0.0001 |
Diastolic blood pressure, per 10 mm Hg | 1.20 | 1.16 to 1.24 | <0.001 | 1.34 | 1.28 to 1.41 | <0.001 | 0.0001 |
Antihypertensive treatment | 1.55 | 1.38 to 1.75 | <0.001 | 1.77 | 1.49 to 2.10 | <0.001 | 0.23 |
Model 2 | |||||||
Age, per year | 1.06 | 1.06 to 1.07 | <0.001 | 1.11 | 1.10 to 1.12 | <0.001 | <0.0001 |
Male gender | 2.30 | 2.11 to 2.50 | <0.001 | 3.52 | 3.03 to 4.08 | <0.001 | <0.0001 |
Diabetes | 1.94 | 1.70 to 2.21 | <0.001 | 1.90 | 1.56 to 2.32 | <0.001 | 0.867 |
Current smoking | 1.93 | 1.81 to 2.05 | <0.001 | 2.68 | 2.41 to 2.98 | <0.001 | <0.0001 |
Cholesterol, per mmol/L | 1.26 | 1.23 to 1.29 | <0.001 | 1.24 | 1.18 to 1.29 | <0.001 | 0.473 |
Body mass index, per kg/m2 | 1.14 | 1.08 to 1.19 | <0.001 | 1.28 | 1.19 to 1.39 | <0.001 | 0.011 |
Systolic blood pressure, per 10 mm Hg | 1.11 | 1.09 to 1.13 | <0.001 | 1.19 | 1.15 to 1.23 | <0.001 | 0.0002 |
Diastolic blood pressure, per 10 mm Hg | 1.16 | 1.12 to 1.20 | <0.001 | 1.29 | 1.23 to 1.36 | <0.001 | 0.0007 |
Antihypertensive treatment | 1.32 | 1.17 to 1.50 | <0.001 | 1.37 | 1.15 to 1.64 | 0.001 | 0.659 |
Model 1 includes covariates age and gender.
Model 2 includes age, gender, body mass index, diabetes, smoking habits, cholesterol, either systolic blood or diastolic blood pressure and antihypertensive treatment. Note: when systolic and diastolic blood pressure were included in the same model, systolic blood pressure showed stronger relationships to both non-fatal and fatal coronary events, compared with diastolic blood pressure.