Table 3

EVPI and EVPPI for input parameters to the cost-effectiveness model

ParametersIndividual EVPPIPopulation EVPPI*
Total EVPI123.7 (118, 129.4)2 026 008 (1 932 365; 2 119 651)
Meta-analysis18.75 (3.887, 33.62)307 068 (63 655; 550 481)
Utilities25.97 (11.11, 40.83)425 290 (181 877; 668 702)
Poststroke disability costs20.94 (6.078, 35.81)342 953 (99 541; 586 366)
Bleed or stroke following cAVR or Ross†116.1 (101.2, 130.9)1 900 959 (1 657 546; 2 144 372)
Other epidemiological parameters‡31.15 (16.28, 46.01)510 077 (266 665; 753 490)
Ross trial (no costs or utilities)§123.7 (108.9, 138.6)2 026 008 (1 782 596; 2 269 421)
  • *Population EVPPI given by multiplying individual EVPPI by 8263 population size.

  • †Early events of stroke or bleed following any of biological AVR, mechAVR or Ross procedure.

  • ‡Other epidemiological parameters are probabilities of disability following stroke; stroke following reoperations for IE on AoV, reoperations for any cause on AoV, reoperations on the pulmonary valve; death following stroke, bleeding events, conservatively treated IE, reoperations for IE on AoV, reoperations for any cause on AoV, reinterventions on the pulmonary valve.

  • §Ross trial informing all parameters of the meta-analysis, bleed or stroke immediately following cAVR or Ross procedure, and other epidemiological parameters but not costs and utilities.

  • AoV, aortic valve; EVPI, expected value of perfect information; EVPPI, expected value of partial perfect information; IE, infective endocarditis; biological AVR, tissue aortic valve replacement; cAVR, conventional aortic valve replacement; mechAVR, mechanical aortic valve replacement.