Table 6

Potential change in premature mortality from the four cardiovascular diseases (CVD) between 2016 and 2030 in Cameroon following a 30% reduction in population salt intake

YearBase yearWithout salt reductionWith salt reductionPercentage change
2016203020302016–2030
(without salt reduction)
2016–2030
(with salt reduction)
Men
No of premature CVD deaths450069006000+53.3+33.3
Premature mortality rate from CVDs* per 100 000; estimate (95% CI)139.3
(135.2 to 143.4)
129.0
(126.0 to 132.0)
111.9
(109.0 to 114.7)
−7.4−19.7
Premature mortality probability from CVDs*, %9.58.9 (8.9 to 8.9)8.1 (8.0 to 8.3)−6.3−14.7
Women
No of premature CVD deaths330049004300+48.5+30.3
Premature mortality rate from CVDs* per 100 000; estimate (95% CI)101.2
(97.8 to 104.7)
89.8
(87.3 to 92.3)
78.5
(76.1 to 80.8)
−11.3−22.4
Premature mortality probability from CVDs*, %7.26.5 (6.5 to 6.5)6.0 (5.9 to 6.0)−9.7−16.7
Total
No of premature CVD deaths780011 90010 300+52.6+32.1
Premature mortality rate from CVDs* per 100 000; estimate (95% CI)120.1
(117.4 to 122.8)
109.2
(107.2 to 111.1)
95.0
(93.2 to 96.8)
−9.1−20.8
Premature mortality probability from CVDs*, %16.715.4 (15.4 to 15.4)13.9 (13.8 to 14.2)−7.8−16.8
  • Rates refer to the cumulative mortality rates for adults aged between 30 and 70 years, expressed per 100 000 population. Mortality probabilities refer to the unconditional probability that an adult aged 30 years will die before their 70th birthday in the year 2030. These are presented for the base year of analysis (2016), then without and with the projected 30% salt reduction to estimate the potential change.

  • *CVDs include ischaemic heart disease, ischaemic stroke, haemorrhagic stroke and hypertensive heart disease.