Decomposition of the total effect of infertility treatments on the risk of preterm birth into its direct and indirect (ie, mediated through multiple pregnancies) components
CHD | Infertility treatments | Total effect | Direct effect | Indirect effect | Estimated size of the indirect effect (%) | |||||||||
Unadjusted OR* | 95% CI | Adjusted† OR* | 95% CI | Unadjusted OR* | 95% CI | Adjusted† OR* | 95% CI | Unadjusted OR* | 95% CI | Adjusted† OR* | 95% CI | |||
All CHDs | None | 1.0 | Ref | 1.0 | Ref | 1.0 | Ref | 1.0 | Ref | 1.0 | Ref | 1.0 | Ref | |
All methods combined‡ | 4.7 | 3.0 to 7.4 | 4.8 | 2.8 to 8.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 to 2.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 to 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.0 to 3.5 | 2.9 | 2.0 to 4.2 | 66.9 | |
IVF±ICSI‡ | 5.2 | 2.9 to 9.5 | 5.2 | 3.0 to 9.0 | 1.9 | 1.1 to 3.1 | 1.7 | 1.0 to 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.0 to 3.9 | 3.0 | 2.1 to 4.2 | 66.7 | |
Isolated CHD | None | 1.0 | Ref | 1.0 | Ref | 1.0 | Ref | 1.0 | Ref | 1.0 | Ref | 1.0 | Ref | |
All methods combined‡ | 5.4 | 3.3 to 8.7 | 5.5 | 2.9 to 10.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 to 2.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 to 2.9 | 3.2 | 2.3 to 4.4 | 3.2 | 2.3 to 4.5 | 68.1 | |
IVF±ICSI‡ | 5.7 | 3.0 to 11.0 | 5.9 | 3.0 to 11.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 to 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.9 to 3.5 | 3.3 | 2.2 to 5.0 | 3.3 | 2.2 to 5.1 | 68.2 | |
Isolated major CHD | None | 1.0 | Ref | 1.0 | Ref | 1.0 | Ref | 1.0 | Ref | 1.0 | Ref | 1.0 | Ref | |
All methods combined‡ | 4.6 | 1.7 to 11.9 | 3.9 | 1.5 to 9.9 | 2.2 | 0.8 to 6.0 | 1.8 | 0.7 to 4.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 to 3.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 to 3.9 | 57.7 | |
IVF±ICSI‡ | 5.6 | 1.7 to 18.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 to 17.4 | 2.3 | 0.7 to 8.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 to 6.4 | 2.5 | 1.3 to 4.5 | 2.6 | 1.4 to 4.6 | 62.7 |
*ORs represent the odds of preterm birth in fetuses with CHD exposed to ART relative to the odds of preterm birth in fetuses with CHD unexposed to ART.
†Adjusted for maternal sociodemographic characteristics (age, geographical origin, occupation), gravidity, diabetes mellitus, vaginal bleeding, invasive prenatal testing, prenatal diagnosis of CHD, intrauterine growth restriction, medical induction of labour or caesarean delivery before labour and year of birth.
‡Including induction of ovulation.
ART, assisted reproductive technique; CHD, congenital heart defect; ICSI, intracytoplasmic sperm injection; IVF, in vitro fertilisation; Ref, reference.