Standard predictors | Single predictor examined in the model(stratified by centre) | All ‘standard predictors’ in the model(stratified by centre) | ||||
HR | 95% CI of HR | P values | HR | 95% CI of HR | P values | |
Demographics and history | ||||||
Sex (male=1) | 0.970 | 0.831 to 1.132 | 0.70 | 1.329 | 1.119 to 1.578 | 0.0012 |
Age/year | 1.065 | 1.046 to 1.084 | <0.0001 | 1.047 | 1.027 to 1.068 | <0.0001 |
Age.time*/year.year | 1.00305 | 1.000056 to 1.0061 | 0.045 | 1.004 | 1.001 to 1.007 | 0.011 |
Smoking status (ex-smoker compared with never smoking) | 1.366 | 1.109 to 1.683 | 0.0071 | 1.436 | 1.155 to 1.786 | <0.0001 |
Smoking status (smoking compared with never smoking) | 1.379 | 1.109 to 1.714 | 2.135 | 1.692 to 2.693 | ||
Hypertension, Y/N | 1.117 | 0.965 to 1.293 | 0.14 | 1.001 | 0.848 to 1.181 | 0.99 |
Diabetes, Y/N | 1.456 | 1.211 to 1.751 | <0.0001 | 1.410 | 1.161 to 1.713 | 0.0005 |
Previous AMI, Y/N | 1.166 | 0.995 to 1.368 | 0.058 | 1.161 | 0.985 to 1.369 | 0.075 |
Current medication | ||||||
Aspirin, Y/N | 0.854 | 0.689 to 1.059 | 0.15 | 0.898 | 0.718 to 1.124 | 0.35 |
Beta-blocker, Y/N | 0.926 | 0.790 to 1.084 | 0.34 | 0.916 | 0.773 to 1.085 | 0.31 |
Calcium antagonist, Y/N | 1.193 | 1.028 to 1.385 | 0.020 | 0.999 | 0.845 to 1.181 | 0.99 |
ACE inhibitor, Y/N | 1.349 | 1.153 to 1.579 | 0.0002 | 1.056 | 0.886 to 1.258 | 0.54 |
Long-lasting nitrate, Y/N | 1.776 | 1.513 to 2.084 | <0.0001 | 1.178 | 0.991 to 1.400 | 0.063 |
Diuretics, Y/N | 2.183 | 1.889 to 2.524 | <0.0001 | 1.432 | 1.210 to 1.694 | <0.0001 |
Digoxin, Y/N | 3.008 | 2.388 to 3.790 | <0.0001 | 1.826 | 1.428 to 2.334 | <0.0001 |
Statins, Y/N | 0.597 | 0.511 to 0.697 | <0.0001 | 0.812 | 0.675 to 0.976 | 0.027 |
Antiarrhytmic drugs, Y/N | 1.113 | 0.677 to 1.830 | 0.67 | 0.798 | 0.482 to 1.320 | 0.38 |
Biochemical predictors | ||||||
Log(CRP/mg/L) | 1.283 | 1.202 to 1.370 | <0.0001 | 1.147 | 1.070 to 1.230 | 0.0001 |
ApoA1/mg/dL | 1.089 | 0.878 to 1.351 | 0.44 | 0.928 | 0.615 to 1.401 | 0.72 |
Log(ApoB/mg/dL) | 0.923 | 0.704 to 1.210 | 0.56 | 0.483 | 0.202 to 1.156 | 0.10 |
Chol-HDL/mmol/L | 1.192 | 0.947 to 1.501 | 0.13 | 0.884 | 0.503 to 1.551 | 0.67 |
Chol-LDL/mmol/L | 0.958 | 0.865 to 1.060 | 0.41 | 0.982 | 0.772 to 1.250 | 0.88 |
Log (cholesterol/mmol/L) | 1.169 | 0.819 to 1.668 | 0.39 | 1.895 | 0.455 to 7.899 | 0.38 |
Log (triglycerides/mmol/L) | 0.868 | 0.755 to 0.997 | 0.045 | 0.882 | 0.716 to 1.086 | 0.24 |
Glomerular filtration rate (GFR/mL/min) | 0.972 | 0.969 to 0.976 | <0.0001 | 0.990 | 0.985 to 0.994 | <0.0001 |
*Time is years since randomisation.
AMI, acute myocardial infarction; Chol, cholesterol; CRP, C-reactive protein; HDL, high-density lipoprotein; LDL, low-density lipoprotein; N, hypertension is not present; Y, hypertension is present.