Table 5

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) areas (C indices) of placebo patients with complete records (n=1998). Nine-year risks assigned by the Cox analysis using all standard predictors

OutcomeOrdinary ROC area (event Yes compared with No, regardless of time)DynamicCindex*
Acute myocardial infarction (AMI)0.6430.651
Unstable angina pectoris (UAP)0.6370.616
Cerebrovascular disease (CVD)0.6060.680
Cardiovascular death (non-cardiovascular death)0.761 (0.736)0.730 (0.728)
All-cause death0.7920.737
Composite outcome†0.7110.640
  • *When a patient had no event of the kind concerned within the 9-year window, we define: toe (time of event) = + ∞. Then, C is the frequency of concordant risks (equal risk weighs 1/2) among patient pairs whose toe data allow us to decide who died first: C=freq {concordant risks (or equal risk, 0.5) | sign of toe difference known from data}.

  • †Consists of acute myocardial infarction, unstable angina pectoris, cerebrovascular disease and all-cause death.