Discussion
The main findings of our study are, compared with the trial group, in the registry group: (1) multimorbidity, functional limitation, frailty and impaired health status were more pronounced; (2) changes to medication were more often made because of recurrent angina but less often made for standard optimisation of secondary prevention; (3) in invasively managed patients, the extent of jeopardised myocardium was similarly high and the culprit lesion was identified in half, and revascularisation by PCI was performed on one third; (4) health-related quality of life was lower at baseline, 6 and 12 months and (5) there was a fourfold increased risk of cardiovascular death, although power was limited. Overall, our study provides novel, contemporary insights into an understudied sub-group of ACS patients with a substantial health burden.
Our registry-based trial provided a framework for information to be prospectively gathered on patients who may have been eligible for randomisation but were not, including the reasons for not being randomised. Registry participation reflected physician and/or patient preferences for one form of treatment over another.16 These beliefs substantially limited enrolment into the randomised trial. This finding has implications for the design and funding of future trials in this population. Moreover, the finding in the comparison of the randomised trial groups that health outcomes were not different with invasive management versus conservative management supports the notion that enrolment rates could be increased by education of physicians and patients.21 Our trial results broadly reflect equipoise between the randomised strategies which should enhance confidence to support enrolment into a future randomised trial.
Compared with trial participation, registry participation was associated with a fourfold higher likelihood of cardiovascular death, with the caveat that event rates were very low for this outcome. This prognostic association may be partly explained by the greater burden of cardiovascular health problems at baseline, including HF and valve disease. Compared with trial patients, registry patients had more medication changes for recurrent angina—this may be partly explained by some registry patients having symptoms which were not stabilised and/or refractory ischaemia (both reasons for exclusion from the randomised trial) (figure 1). However, up-titration of medical therapy for secondary prevention occurred less often in the registry group, implying less intensive management, less scope for therapy improvements or both. The results highlight the substantial levels of morbidity, polypharmacy and adverse health outcomes in this group. The clinical course of two participants is illustrated (online supplemental figures 1 and 2).
Advances in interventional management
In our trial, invasive management was selected in 36 (49%) of registry participants at baseline, but PCI was performed in only 13 (36%) of these patients. The lower PCI rate in our population may be explained by the complex nature of native vessel and graft disease, lack of a clear culprit (in almost half), and, arguably, lack of definitive evidence in support of the benefits of PCI in this population.
PCI continues to evolve with technical advances potentially leading to improvements in safety and procedural success (online supplemental discussion).
Feasibility of a future substantive trial in patients with an NSTE-ACS and prior CABG
About one in 10–15 NSTE-ACS patients have a prior CABG (online supplemental table 1).6 This proportion is likely to remain stable in the coming years reflecting revascularisation practices in the past decade and increasing longevity. Many participants in this study were elderly, frail and multimorbid. Screening and obtaining informed consent were time-consuming for research staff. Medical decisions during urgent care may happen out-with office hours when research staff availability was limited. Medical information was commonly lacking at the time of hospitalisation, for example, graft history, limited recall by patients. These considerations present logistical barriers to enrolling patients into a randomised trial.
High event rates in patients with an NSTE-ACS and prior CABG
Almost half of the participants in both groups experienced a primary efficacy outcome event (table 4). In contemporary trials involving NSTE-ACS patients, the 12-month major adverse cardiac event (MACE) rate is usually 8%–10%, which is very much lower than observed in this study’s patients. The proportion of affected patients increased substantially during longer-term follow-up beyond 12 months. Again, this progressive accrual of adverse cardiac events over time contrasts with other trials in NSTE-ACS patients in which cardiac events may plateau over time. The older age and universal presence of multi-morbidity probably explain the differences in prognosis between NSTE-ACS patients with versus without prior CABG. Considering future trials in NSTE-ACS patients with prior CABG, there are considerable logistical challenges to enrolment but, however, the event rate implies that the sample size may be lower than for other populations in which primary outcome event rates are expectedly lower.
Limitations
Our pilot trial was not powered to assess for between-group differences in the rates of the serious adverse events contributing to the prespecified efficacy and safety outcomes. The sample size was small, with resultant wide confidence intervals. Both groups included patients that were managed differently (PCI vs medical therapy), thereby confounding between-group comparisons.