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Original research article
Improving risk stratification in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction by combining two validated risk scores
  1. Kalyani Anil Boralkar1,
  2. Yukari Kobayashi1,
  3. Kegan J Moneghetti1,
  4. Vedant S Pargaonkar1,
  5. Mirela Tuzovic1,
  6. Gomathi Krishnan1,
  7. Matthew T Wheeler2,
  8. Dipanjan Banerjee1,
  9. Tatiana Kuznetsova3,
  10. Benjamin D Horne4,
  11. Kirk U Knowlton5,
  12. Paul A Heidenreich1 and
  13. Francois Haddad1
  1. 1Cardiovascular Institute, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA
  2. 2Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA
  3. 3Research Unit Hypertension and Cardiovascular Epidemiology KU Leuven, Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
  4. 4Intermountain Heart Institute, Intermountain Medical Center, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA
  5. 5Cardiovascular Diseases, Intermountain Medical Center, Murray, Utah, USA
  1. Correspondence to Dr Francois Haddad; fhaddad{at}stanford.edu

Abstract

Introduction The Intermountain Risk Score (IMRS) was developed and validated to predict short-term and long-term mortality in hospitalised patients using demographics and commonly available laboratory data. In this study, we sought to determine whether the IMRS also predicts all-cause mortality in patients hospitalised with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and whether it is complementary to the Get with the Guidelines Heart Failure (GWTG-HF) risk score or N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP).

Methods and results We used the Stanford Translational Research Integrated Database Environment to identify 3847 adult patients with a diagnosis of HFpEF between January 1998 and December 2016. Of these, 580 were hospitalised with a primary diagnosis of acute HFpEF. Mean age was 76±16 years, the majority being female (58%), with a high prevalence of diabetes mellitus (36%) and a history of coronary artery disease (60%). Over a median follow-up of 2.0 years, 140 (24%) patients died. On multivariable analysis, the IMRS and GWTG-HF risk score were independently associated with all-cause mortality (standardised HRs IMRS (1.55 (95% CI 1.27 to 1.93)); GWTG-HF (1.60 (95% CI 1.27 to 2.01))). Combining the two scores, improved the net reclassification over GWTG-HF alone by 36.2%. In patients with available NT-proBNP (n=341), NT-proBNP improved the net reclassification of each score by 46.2% (IMRS) and 36.3% (GWTG-HF).

Conclusion IMRS and GWTG-HF risk scores, along with NT-proBNP, play a complementary role in predicting outcome in patients hospitalised with HFpEF.

  • heart failure with normal ejection fraction
  • quality of care and outcomes
  • heart failure
  • heart failure preserved ejection fraction

This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited, appropriate credit is given, any changes made indicated, and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/.

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Footnotes

  • Contributors All authors take responsibility for all aspects of the reliability and freedom from bias of the data presented and their discussed interpretation.

  • Competing interests None declared.

  • Patient consent for publication Not required.

  • Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.

  • Data availability statement No additional data are available.