ArticlesComparison of UK paediatric cardiac surgical performance by analysis of routinely collected data 1984–96: was Bristol an outlier?
Introduction
Reports of high mortality within paediatric cardiac surgery units at the Bristol Royal Infirmary, UK, led to the establishment of an independent public inquiry.1 One of the key questions was whether or not the mortality statistics in Bristol were unusual compared with other specialist centres. This paper presents an analysis of data on paediatric cardiac surgery carried out at Bristol and 11 other major centres in England.
We have previously shown that, within Bristol, levels of activity (numbers of cases and deaths) recorded in seven available datasets held for purposes of clinical audit or management (and, in one case, collated specifically for the Inquiry) were broadly similar, with no large discrepancies that could not be accounted for.2, 3, 4, 5, 6 Of these datasets, two were national: Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) and the UK Cardiac Surgical Register (CSR). Despite the limitations of routine data, national comparisons with these two sets of data could be undertaken.
Although our study concerns outcome of paediatric cardiac surgery, its approach and methodology is applicable more generally to comparison of performance across a wide range of specialties.
Section snippets
Methods
Data from the CSR (January, 1984, to March, 1996) and HES (April, 1991, to December, 1995) were obtained for all 12 major centres in England in which paediatric cardiac surgery is done. Two age-groups were defined: children younger than 1 year, and children aged between 1 and 15 years. Two different classifications of operative procedures were used: the first comprised broad classes of either open (requiring cardiopulmonary bypass) or closed operations, and the second consisted of 13 procedure
Results
Figure 1 shows mortality by centre for open operations. Between-centre variability in outcomes reported to the CSR declined over the three epochs. In children younger than 1 year, out of the 12 centres, Bristol (centre 1) had the third highest mortality rate (95% interval 1–6) reported to the CSR during 1988–90, and the highest rate in both the CSR (1–2) and HES (1–1) during 1991–95. Only one other centre, centre 10 (Harefield hospital), showed consistent evidence across the two sources of data
Discussion
We did a retrospective analysis of two national datasets to ascertain whether Bristol Royal Infirmary was an outlier with regard to mortality after paediatric cardiac surgery. The main finding was that Bristol was indeed an outlier, and not merely “bottom of the league”. There was an excess mortality between 1991 and March, 1995, for open operations in children younger than 1 year, and a mortality of around double that in other centres. The most compelling part of the data was the size of the
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