Table 3

Multivariate parameter estimates, HRs and 95% CIs for arm exercise variables based on step-wise Cox analysis

5-year all-cause mortality5-year CV mortality5-year CV mortality or MI12-year all-cause mortality12-year CV mortality
Parameter estimateHRParameter estimateHRParameter estimateHRParameter estimateHRParameter estimateHR
Heart rate recovery (bpm)−0.060.94*** (0.91 to 0.97)−0.100.90*** (0.86 to 0.95)−0.080.93*** (0.89 to 0.96)−0.040.96*** (0.94 to 0.98)−0.050.95** (0.92 to 0.98)
Exercise capacity (METs)−0.780.46 *** (0.33 to 0.63)−0.750.47** (0.29 to 0.77)−0.730.48*** (0.32 to 0.73)−0.630.54*** (0.44 to 0.65)−0.720.49*** (0.36 to 0.67)
ST depression ≥1 mm0.762.14** (1.22 to 3.78)1.072.92** (1.33 to 6.41)1.223.38*** (1.70 to 6.70)0.611.85** (1.24 to 2.76)0.902.46** (1.37 to 4.42)
  • HRs for continuous variables indicate hazard change per single integer measurement unit.

  • *p<0.05; **p<0.01; ***p<0.001 by multivariate analysis.

  • CV, cardiovascular; METs, resting metabolic equivalents; MI, myocardial infarction.