Table 7

Discrimination of the prediction models derived from multivariate hazard models excluding patients with normal or low ALT

ModelsAUC c-statisticSE*95% CI
AST/ALT excluded
 Framingham risk factors0.660.0130.64 to 0.69
 QRISK2 risk factors0.680.0140.65 to 0.71
AST/ALT ratio included
 Framingham risk factors+AST/ALT ratio0.710.0130.68 to 0.73
 QRISK2 Risk factors+AST/ALT ratio0.720.0130.69 to 0.74
  • Higher area under receiver operating curve (AUC c-statistic) shows better model performance.

  • *SE estimated by jack-knife procedure.

  • ALT, alanine transaminase; AST, aspartate transaminase.