Table 2

Heart failure rates/1000 person-years and adjusted HR for heart failure according to alcohol consumption in men with no pre-existing diagnosed myocardial infarction (MI) or heart failure

Alcohol intake (drinks/week)
Non-drinker
(N=344)
<1
(N=338)
1–6
(N=1259)
7–14
(N=712)
15–34
(N=740)
≥35
(N=137)
Rates/1000 person-years (n)6.9 (21)7.9 (25)5.2 (64)5.0 (34)5.9 (42)9.4 (12)
Age-adjusted1.19 (0.71 to 1.92)1.54 (0.96 to 2.48)1.000.98 (0.65 to 1.49)1.17 (0.80 to 1.73)2.04 (1.10 to 3.77)
Model 10.98 (0.59 to 1.63)1.43 (0.89 to 2.32)1.000.94 (0.62 to 1.43)1.15 (0.78 to 1.70)1.90 (1.02 to 3.54)
Model 21.01 (0.61 to 1.61)1.49 (0.92 to 2.32)1.000.95 (0.63 to 1.45)1.19 (0.81 to 1.76)1.89 (1.01 to 3.52)
Model 30.97 (0.59 to 1.63)1.39 (0.86 to 2.25)1.000.94 (0.64 to 1.43)1.16 (0.78 to 1.71)1.91 (1.02 to 3.56)
Model 40.94 (0.57 to 1.58)1.44 (0.86 to 2.29)1.000.93 (0.58 to 1.36)1.14 (0.76 to 1.67)1.80 (0.96 to 3.36)
Model 50.92 (0.55 to 1.56)1.28 (0.75 to 2.10)1.000.93 (0.61 to 1.43)1.14 (0.76 to 1.69)1.43 (0.76 to 1.69)
Model 60.93 (0.55 to 1.57)1.38 (0.84 to 2.29)1.001.02 (0.66 to 1.56)1.22 (0.82 to 2.82)1.56 (0.81 to 3.00)
Model 2 and exclusion of past heavy drinkers (>6 drinks/day)0.95 (0.57 to 1.58)1.38 (0.85 to 2.24)1.000.99 (0.65 to 1.51)1.15 (0.76 to 1.74)1.83 (0.98 to 3.40)
  • Model 1: adjusted for age, smoking, body mass index, social class, prevalent stroke, diabetes and angina.

  • Model 2: Model 1+left ventricular hypertrophy, antihypertensive drugs and systolic blood pressure.

  • Model 3: Model 2+atrial fibrillation and renal dysfunction.

  • Model 4: Model 3+forced expiratory volume in 1 s.

  • Model 5: Model 4+N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP).

  • Model 6: Model 5+incident MI.