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Original research article
Estimated incidence and risk factors of sudden unexpected death
  1. Mary Elizabeth Lewis1,
  2. Feng-Chang Lin2,
  3. Parin Nanavati1,
  4. Neil Mehta1,
  5. Louisa Mounsey1,
  6. Anthony Nwosu1,
  7. Irion Pursell1,
  8. Eugene H Chung1,
  9. J Paul Mounsey1 and
  10. Ross J Simpson Jr1
  1. 1Department of Medicine, The University of North Carolina, Cardiac Electrophysiology, North Carolina, USA
  2. 2NC TraCS, University of North Carolina, North Carolina, USA
  1. Correspondence to Dr Ross J Simpson Jr; ross_simpson{at}med.unc.edu

Abstract

Objective In this manuscript, we estimate the incidence and identify risk factors for sudden unexpected death in a socioeconomically and racially diverse population in one county in North Carolina. Estimates of the incidence and risk factors contributing to sudden death vary widely. The Sudden Unexpected Death in North Carolina (SUDDEN) project is a population-based investigation of the incidence and potential causes of sudden death.

Methods From 3 March 2013 to 2 March 2014, all out-of-hospital deaths in Wake County, North Carolina, were screened to identify presumed sudden unexpected death among free-living residents between the ages of 18 and 64 years. Death certificate, public and medical records were reviewed and adjudicated to confirm sudden unexpected death cases.

Results Following adjudication, 190 sudden unexpected deaths including 122 men and 68 women were identified. Estimated incidence was 32.1 per 100 000 person-years overall: 42.7 among men and 22.4 among women. The majority of victims were white, unmarried men over age 55 years, with unwitnessed deaths at home. Hypertension and dyslipidaemia were common in men and women. African-American women dying from sudden unexpected death were over-represented. Women who were under age 55 years with coronary disease accounted for over half of female participants with coronary artery disease.

Conclusions The overall estimated incidence of sudden unexpected death may account for approximately 10% of all deaths classified as ‘natural’. Women have a lower estimated incidence of sudden unexpected death than men. However, we found no major differences in age or comorbidities between men and women. African-Americans and young women with coronary disease are at risk for sudden unexpected death.

This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/

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