Objective Despite treatment with intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG), the natural progression to coronary artery stenosis in Kawasaki disease is not well defined and remains a potential cause of long-term morbidity. We present a novel study, at a US tertiary paediatric care centre, identifying risk factors for stenosis.

Methods We reviewed charts of all children who underwent cardiac catheterisation for coronary artery abnormalities, from 1998 to January 2014, at a tertiary paediatric care centre. Demographic and diagnostic data included time intervals to echocardiographic changes and confirmed catheterisation cases of stenosis. Multivariate survival analysis was used to evaluate risk factors with stenosis formation as the main outcome measure.

Results 53 children met the inclusion criteria and 18 (34.6%) developed stenosis. Only those with giant coronary aneurysms (GCA) developed stenosis, with the highest risk group overall being children under the age of 6 months (hazard ratio (HR) 2.82 3.79, p=0.004). In a subset of only cases of GCA (33), a majority went on to develop stenosis (18/33). Median time to diagnosis was 190 days. In this group, children under the age of 6 months were again at highest risk (HR 2.62, p=0.04). IVIG administration, sex and ethnicity were not statistically significant predictors.

Conclusions This retrospective study demonstrates a relatively high incidence of stenosis in children with Kawasaki disease and coronary vascular abnormalities. Overall, a majority of cases with GCA progressed into stenosis, with children under the age of 6 months being at highest risk.